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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
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VEN Venezuela - Primera Division · Wedstrijd ·

Metropolitanos FC vs UCV

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.23 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst49%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst23%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst49% selection probability
Projected score2–1Metropolitanos FCUCV
Expected goals3.23Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven63% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
49% / 28% / 23%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UCV win (23.5%)Dubbele Kans1X76.5%1.31
Boven 63% · Onder 37%Goals 2.5Boven63%1.59
Ja 61% · Nee 39%Beide teams scorenJa61%1.64
3.23 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapMetropolitanos FC winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Metropolitanos FC win49%2.041.8548.4%+0.6 pp
Gelijkspel28%3.573.2028%0.0 pp
UCV win23%4.353.8023.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Metropolitanos FC2.01

Thuis share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals3.23Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 63% · Onder 37%

UCV1.22

Uit share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nee 39%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Metropolitanos FC

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis won 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

UCV

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
23%
9
Points from supplied form
3
2.01
Expected goals
1.22
Metropolitanos FCUCV
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Metropolitanos FC signalThuis won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UCV signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Metropolitanos FC vs UCV FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Metropolitanos FC gewonnen 49%,Gelijkspel 28%,UCV gewonnen 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Boven 2.5 63% · Current selection Boven