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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Fixture ·

Sol de America de Formosa vs Defensores de Belgrano VR

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.06 expected goals
Away form
Home win49%
Draw30%
Away win21%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win49% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sol de America de FormosaDefensores de Belgrano VR
Expected goals2.06Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under66% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
49% / 30% / 21%Match resultHome win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Defensores de Belgrano VR win (21.4%)Double chance1X78.6%1.27
Over 34% · Under 66%Goals 2.5Under66%1.52
Yes 39% · No 61%Both teams scoreNo61%1.64
2.06 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapSol de America de Formosa winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sol de America de Formosa win49%2.041.8548.6%+0.4 pp
Draw30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Defensores de Belgrano VR win21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sol de America de Formosa1.31

Home share of expected goals 63.6%

Total expected goals2.06Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 34% · Under 66%

Defensores de Belgrano VR0.75

Away share of expected goals 36.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 39% · No 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sol de America de Formosa

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Defensores de Belgrano VR

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalAway unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Win probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.31
Expected goals
0.75
Sol de America de FormosaDefensores de Belgrano VR
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sol de America de Formosa signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Defensores de Belgrano VR signalAway unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Sol de America de Formosa vs Defensores de Belgrano VR FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sol de America de Formosa win 49%,Draw 30%,Defensores de Belgrano VR win 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.06 · Over 2.5 34% · Current selection Under