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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Match ·

Sol de America de Formosa vs Defensores de Belgrano VR

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.06 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger49%
Oavgjort30%
Bortaseger21%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger49% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sol de America de FormosaDefensores de Belgrano VR
Expected goals2.06Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under66% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
49% / 30% / 21%MatchresultatHemmaseger49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Defensores de Belgrano VR win (21.4%)Dubbelchans1X78.6%1.27
Över 34% · Under 66%Goals 2.5Under66%1.52
Ja 39% · Nej 61%Båda lagen gör målNej61%1.64
2.06 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.6 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapSol de America de Formosa winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sol de America de Formosa win49%2.041.8548.6%+0.4 pp
Oavgjort30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Defensores de Belgrano VR win21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sol de America de Formosa1.31

Hemma share of expected goals 63.6%

Total expected goals2.06Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 34% · Under 66%

Defensores de Belgrano VR0.75

Borta share of expected goals 36.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 39% · Nej 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Sol de America de Formosa

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Defensores de Belgrano VR

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Poäng9

SignalBorta unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.31
Expected goals
0.75
Sol de America de FormosaDefensores de Belgrano VR
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sol de America de Formosa signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Defensores de Belgrano VR signalBorta unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Sol de America de Formosa vs Defensores de Belgrano VR FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sol de America de Formosa vunnen 49%,Oavgjort 30%,Defensores de Belgrano VR vunnen 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.06 · Över 2.5 34% · Current selection Under