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ITA Coppa Italia · Fixture ·

Arezzo vs Union Brescia

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.50 expected goals
Away form
Home win44%
Draw28%
Away win29%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 44% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win44% selection probability
Projected score1–1ArezzoUnion Brescia
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 28% / 29%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Double chance1272.4%1.38
Over 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreNo50%2.00
2.50 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Arezzo win44%2.272.1542.6%
Draw28%3.573.3027.8%
Union Brescia win29%3.453.1029.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Arezzo1.44

Home share of expected goals 57.6%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 45% · Under 55%

Union Brescia1.06

Away share of expected goals 42.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Arezzo

1.67pts / match
Played3Wins1Drawn2Losses0Points5

SignalHome unbeaten 3/3

Away-context · form sequence

Union Brescia

0.00pts / match
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Win probability excluding draw
29%
5
Points from supplied form
0
1.44
Expected goals
1.06
ArezzoUnion Brescia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Arezzo signalHome unbeaten 3/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Union Brescia signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Arezzo vs Union Brescia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Arezzo win 44%,Draw 28%,Union Brescia win 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Over 2.5 45% · Current selection Under