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NIR Northern Ireland Championship · Round 1 ·

HW Welders vs Warrenpoint Town

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.97 expected goals
Away form
Home win67%
Draw19%
Away win14%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 67% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win67% selection probability
Projected score2–1HW WeldersWarrenpoint Town
Expected goals2.97Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over58% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
67% / 19% / 14%Match resultHome win67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Warrenpoint Town win (14.1%)Double chance1X85.9%1.16
Over 58% · Under 42%Goals 2.5Over58%1.72
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.97 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
HW Welders win67%1.491.3069.2%
Draw19%5.265.0018%
Warrenpoint Town win14%7.147.0012.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

HW Welders1.99

Home share of expected goals 67%

Total expected goals2.97Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 58% · Under 42%

Warrenpoint Town0.98

Away share of expected goals 33%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

HW Welders

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Warrenpoint Town

0.00pts / match
Played3Wins0Drawn0Losses3Points0

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Win probability excluding draw
14%
9
Points from supplied form
0
1.99
Expected goals
0.98
HW WeldersWarrenpoint Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01HW Welders signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Warrenpoint Town signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

HW Welders vs Warrenpoint Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

HW Welders win 67%,Draw 19%,Warrenpoint Town win 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.97 · Over 2.5 58% · Current selection Over