Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
45% / 25% / 29%Match resultHome win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Double chance1274.6%1.34
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 60% · No 40%Both teams scoreYes60%1.67
2.94 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin12.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Napoli win45%2.221.9545.7%—
Draw25%4.003.5025.5%—
Celta Vigo win29%3.453.1028.8%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 55.1%
Total expected goals2.94Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%
Away share of expected goals 44.9%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 60% · No 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchNapoli
WWLDD
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.50pts / matchCelta Vigo
WWDW
Played4Wins3Drawn1Losses0Points10
SignalHome won 2/5 recent home matches
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
45%
Win probability excluding draw
29%8
Points from supplied form
101.62
Expected goals
1.32NapoliCelta Vigo
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Napoli vs Celta Vigo FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Napoli win 45%，Draw 25%，Celta Vigo win 29%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.94 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over。