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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Match ·

Napoli vs Celta Vigo

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.94 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger45%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger29%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 45% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger45% selection probability
Projected score2–1NapoliCelta Vigo
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över56% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
45% / 25% / 29%MatchresultatHemmaseger45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Dubbelchans1274.6%1.34
Över 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Över56%1.79
Ja 59% · Nej 41%Båda lagen gör målJa59%1.69
2.94 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.2 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Napoli win45%2.221.9545.7%
Oavgjort25%4.003.5025.5%
Celta Vigo win29%3.453.1028.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Napoli1.62

Hemma share of expected goals 55.1%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 56% · Under 44%

Celta Vigo1.32

Borta share of expected goals 44.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nej 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Napoli

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Celta Vigo

2.50pts / match
Spelade4Wins3Drawn1Losses0Poäng10

SignalHemma won 2/5 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
29%
8
Points from supplied form
10
1.62
Expected goals
1.32
NapoliCelta Vigo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Napoli signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Celta Vigo signalHemma won 2/5 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Napoli vs Celta Vigo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Napoli vunnen 45%,Oavgjort 25%,Celta Vigo vunnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · Över 2.5 56% · Current selection Över