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AUS Australia Western Australia State League 1 · Round 19 ·

Murdoch University Melville FC vs UWA-Nedlands FC

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.23 expected goals
Away form
Home win45%
Draw23%
Away win32%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win45% selection probability
Projected score2–1Murdoch University Melville FCUWA-Nedlands FC
Expected goals3.23Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
45% / 23% / 32%Match resultHome win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23%)Double chance1277%1.30
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.23 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Murdoch University Melville FC win45%2.22
Draw23%4.35
UWA-Nedlands FC win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Murdoch University Melville FC1.76

Home share of expected goals 54.5%

Total expected goals3.23Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

UWA-Nedlands FC1.47

Away share of expected goals 45.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Murdoch University Melville FC

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

UWA-Nedlands FC

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalAway unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
4
Points from supplied form
13
1.76
Expected goals
1.47
Murdoch University Melville FCUWA-Nedlands FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Murdoch University Melville FC signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UWA-Nedlands FC signalAway unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Murdoch University Melville FC vs UWA-Nedlands FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Murdoch University Melville FC win 45%,Draw 23%,UWA-Nedlands FC win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over