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INT Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women · Fixture ·

Aland United (W) vs Ilves (W)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.34 expected goals
Away form
Home win66%
Draw19%
Away win15%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 66% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win66% selection probability
Projected score2–1Aland United (W)Ilves (W)
Expected goals3.34Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over65% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
66% / 19% / 15%Match resultHome win66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ilves (W) win (15%)Double chance1X85%1.18
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.34 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aland United (W) win66%1.521.3367.4%
Draw19%5.264.7518.9%
Ilves (W) win15%6.676.5013.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aland United (W)2.19

Home share of expected goals 65.6%

Total expected goals3.34Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%

Ilves (W)1.15

Away share of expected goals 34.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Aland United (W)

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Ilves (W)

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Win probability excluding draw
15%
13
Points from supplied form
7
2.19
Expected goals
1.15
Aland United (W)Ilves (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aland United (W) signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ilves (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Aland United (W) vs Ilves (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aland United (W) win 66%,Draw 19%,Ilves (W) win 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.34 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over