Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
41% / 22% / 37%Match resultHome win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.7%)Double chance1278.3%1.28
Over 71% · Under 29%Goals 2.5Over71%1.41
Yes 70% · No 30%Both teams scoreYes70%1.43
3.66 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2——
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Croydon FC Reserves win41%2.44
Draw22%4.55
Sturt Lions Reserves win37%2.70
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 51.1%
Total expected goals3.66Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 71% · Under 29%
Away share of expected goals 48.9%
Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 70% · No 30%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchCroydon FC Reserves
WLLWL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchSturt Lions Reserves
WWWLL
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
41%
Win probability excluding draw
37%6
Points from supplied form
91.87
Expected goals
1.79Croydon FC ReservesSturt Lions Reserves
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.
Match questions
Croydon FC Reserves vs Sturt Lions Reserves FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Croydon FC Reserves win 41%，Draw 22%，Sturt Lions Reserves win 37%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.66 · Over 2.5 71% · Current selection Over。