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AUS Australia Queensland Premier League Women · Fixture ·

Mitchelton FC (W) vs North Lakes United (W)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.52 expected goals
Away form
Home win24%
Draw19%
Away win57%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 57% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win57% selection probability
Projected score1–2Mitchelton FC (W)North Lakes United (W)
Expected goals3.52Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over69% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
24% / 19% / 57%Match resultAway win57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (19.5%)Double chance1280.5%1.24
Over 69% · Under 31%Goals 2.5Over69%1.45
Yes 68% · No 32%Both teams scoreYes68%1.47
3.52 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mitchelton FC (W) win24%4.174.1022%
Draw19%5.264.7519%
North Lakes United (W) win57%1.751.5359%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mitchelton FC (W)1.45

Home share of expected goals 41.2%

Total expected goals3.52Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 69% · Under 31%

North Lakes United (W)2.07

Away share of expected goals 58.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 68% · No 32%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Mitchelton FC (W)

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

North Lakes United (W)

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Win probability excluding draw
57%
10
Points from supplied form
9
1.45
Expected goals
2.07
Mitchelton FC (W)North Lakes United (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mitchelton FC (W) signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02North Lakes United (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Mitchelton FC (W) vs North Lakes United (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mitchelton FC (W) win 24%,Draw 19%,North Lakes United (W) win 57%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.52 · Over 2.5 69% · Current selection Over