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AUS Australia Queensland Premier League Women · Fixture ·

Caboolture FC (W) vs Moreton City Excelsior (W)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.58 expected goals
Away form
Home win81%
Draw12%
Away win7%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 81% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win81% selection probability
Projected score2–1Caboolture FC (W)Moreton City Excelsior (W)
Expected goals3.58Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over71% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes66% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
81% / 12% / 7%Match resultHome win81%1.23
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Moreton City Excelsior (W) win (6.9%)Double chance1X93.1%1.07
Over 71% · Under 29%Goals 2.5Over71%1.41
Yes 66% · No 34%Both teams scoreYes66%1.52
3.58 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Caboolture FC (W) win81%1.231.1084.3%
Draw12%8.339.0010.3%
Moreton City Excelsior (W) win7%14.2917.005.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caboolture FC (W)2.48

Home share of expected goals 69.3%

Total expected goals3.58Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 71% · Under 29%

Moreton City Excelsior (W)1.10

Away share of expected goals 30.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 66% · No 34%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Caboolture FC (W)

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Moreton City Excelsior (W)

0.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
81%
Win probability excluding draw
7%
13
Points from supplied form
0
2.48
Expected goals
1.10
Caboolture FC (W)Moreton City Excelsior (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caboolture FC (W) signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Moreton City Excelsior (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk19% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

Caboolture FC (W) vs Moreton City Excelsior (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 81% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caboolture FC (W) win 81%,Draw 12%,Moreton City Excelsior (W) win 7%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.58 · Over 2.5 71% · Current selection Over