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AUS Australia New South Wales U20 League · Fixture ·

University NSW U20 vs Sydney Olympic U20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score4–14.60 expected goals
Away form
Home win73%
Draw16%
Away win11%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win73% selection probability
Projected score4–1University NSW U20Sydney Olympic U20
Expected goals4.60Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over84% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
73% / 16% / 11%Match resultHome win73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sydney Olympic U20 win (10.8%)Double chance1X89.2%1.12
Over 84% · Under 16%Goals 2.5Over84%1.19
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
4.60 total expected goalsCorrect score4–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
University NSW U20 win73%1.37
Draw16%6.25
Sydney Olympic U20 win11%9.09

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

University NSW U203.67

Home share of expected goals 79.8%

Total expected goals4.60Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 84% · Under 16%

Sydney Olympic U200.93

Away share of expected goals 20.2%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

University NSW U20

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Sydney Olympic U20

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Win probability excluding draw
11%
7
Points from supplied form
1
3.67
Expected goals
0.93
University NSW U20Sydney Olympic U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01University NSW U20 signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sydney Olympic U20 signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

University NSW U20 vs Sydney Olympic U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 4–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

University NSW U20 win 73%,Draw 16%,Sydney Olympic U20 win 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.60 · Over 2.5 84% · Current selection Over