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FIN Finland Kakkonen Group B · Fixture ·

P-Iirot vs GrIFK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.66 expected goals
Away form
Home win56%
Draw22%
Away win22%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win56% selection probability
Projected score2–1P-IirotGrIFK
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under50% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
56% / 22% / 22%Match resultHome win56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.6%)Double chance1278.4%1.28
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Under50%2.00
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.66 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapP-Iirot winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
P-Iirot win56%1.791.5756.9%-0.9 pp
Draw22%4.554.2021.3%+0.7 pp
GrIFK win22%4.554.1021.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

P-Iirot1.63

Home share of expected goals 61.3%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%

GrIFK1.03

Away share of expected goals 38.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

P-Iirot

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

GrIFK

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Win probability excluding draw
22%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.63
Expected goals
1.03
P-IirotGrIFK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01P-Iirot signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02GrIFK signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

P-Iirot vs GrIFK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

P-Iirot win 56%,Draw 22%,GrIFK win 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Under