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IRL Republic of Ireland National League Women · Fixture ·

FC Treaty United (W) vs Cork City (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–02.09 expected goals
Away form
Home win76%
Draw17%
Away win7%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 76% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win76% selection probability
Projected score2–0FC Treaty United (W)Cork City (W)
Expected goals2.09Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under65% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo74% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
76% / 17% / 7%Match resultHome win76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cork City (W) win (7.5%)Double chance1X92.5%1.08
Over 35% · Under 65%Goals 2.5Under65%1.54
Yes 26% · No 74%Both teams scoreNo74%1.35
2.09 total expected goalsCorrect score2–0
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Treaty United (W) win76%1.321.1876.2%-0.2 pp
Draw17%5.885.5016.3%+0.7 pp
Cork City (W) win7%14.2912.007.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Treaty United (W)1.71

Home share of expected goals 81.8%

Total expected goals2.09Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 35% · Under 65%

Cork City (W)0.38

Away share of expected goals 18.2%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitYes 26% · No 74%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Treaty United (W)

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Cork City (W)

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
76%
Win probability excluding draw
7%
8
Points from supplied form
4
1.71
Expected goals
0.38
FC Treaty United (W)Cork City (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Treaty United (W) signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cork City (W) signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk24% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

FC Treaty United (W) vs Cork City (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–0 · 76% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Treaty United (W) win 76%,Draw 17%,Cork City (W) win 7%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.09 · Over 2.5 35% · Current selection Under