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IRL Irland - National League - Damer · Match ·

FC Treaty United (D) vs Cork City (D)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–02.09 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger76%
Oavgjort17%
Bortaseger7%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 76% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger76% selection probability
Projected score2–0FC Treaty United (D)Cork City (D)
Expected goals2.09Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under65% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej74% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
76% / 17% / 7%MatchresultatHemmaseger76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cork City (D) win (7.5%)Dubbelchans1X92.5%1.08
Över 35% · Under 65%Goals 2.5Under65%1.54
Ja 26% · Nej 74%Båda lagen gör målNej74%1.35
2.09 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–0
9.5 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Treaty United (D) win76%1.321.1876.2%-0.2 pp
Oavgjort17%5.885.5016.3%+0.7 pp
Cork City (D) win7%14.2912.007.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Treaty United (D)1.71

Hemma share of expected goals 81.8%

Total expected goals2.09Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 35% · Under 65%

Cork City (D)0.38

Borta share of expected goals 18.2%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitJa 26% · Nej 74%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

FC Treaty United (D)

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Cork City (D)

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
76%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
7%
8
Points from supplied form
4
1.71
Expected goals
0.38
FC Treaty United (D)Cork City (D)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Treaty United (D) signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cork City (D) signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk24% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

FC Treaty United (D) vs Cork City (D) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–0 · 76% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Treaty United (D) vunnen 76%,Oavgjort 17%,Cork City (D) vunnen 7%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.09 · Över 2.5 35% · Current selection Under