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IRL Republic of Ireland National League Women · Fixture ·

Sligo Rovers (W) vs Galway (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.71 expected goals
Away form
Home win19%
Draw23%
Away win59%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win59% selection probability
Projected score1–2Sligo Rovers (W)Galway (W)
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
19% / 23% / 59%Match resultAway win59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sligo Rovers (W) win (18.8%)Double chanceX281.2%1.23
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 49% · No 51%Both teams scoreNo51%1.96
2.71 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sligo Rovers (W) win19%5.264.7518.9%+0.1 pp
Draw23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp
Galway (W) win59%1.691.5358.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sligo Rovers (W)0.88

Home share of expected goals 32.5%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

Galway (W)1.83

Away share of expected goals 67.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sligo Rovers (W)

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Galway (W)

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
19%
Win probability excluding draw
59%
8
Points from supplied form
7
0.88
Expected goals
1.83
Sligo Rovers (W)Galway (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sligo Rovers (W) signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Galway (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Sligo Rovers (W) vs Galway (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sligo Rovers (W) win 19%,Draw 23%,Galway (W) win 59%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over