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INT Guatemala Liga Nacional · Fixture ·

Malacateco vs Xelaju

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.56 expected goals
Away form
Home win47%
Draw28%
Away win26%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 47% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win47% selection probability
Projected score2–1MalacatecoXelaju
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
47% / 28% / 26%Match resultHome win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Xelaju win (25.9%)Double chance1X74.1%1.35
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.56 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Malacateco win47%2.131.9545.8%
Draw28%3.573.2027.9%
Xelaju win26%3.853.4026.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Malacateco1.53

Home share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%

Xelaju1.03

Away share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Malacateco

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Xelaju

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Win probability excluding draw
26%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.53
Expected goals
1.03
MalacatecoXelaju
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Malacateco signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Xelaju signalHome unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Malacateco vs Xelaju FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Malacateco win 47%,Draw 28%,Xelaju win 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under