MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
PAN Panama Liga Prom · Fixture ·

San Francisco Reserves vs CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.16 expected goals
Away form
Home win30%
Draw25%
Away win45%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win45% selection probability
Projected score1–2San Francisco ReservesCA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
Expected goals3.16Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over61% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
30% / 25% / 45%Match resultAway win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Double chance1274.6%1.34
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 62% · No 38%Both teams scoreYes62%1.61
3.16 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
San Francisco Reserves win30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp
Draw25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves win45%2.222.0044.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

San Francisco Reserves1.30

Home share of expected goals 41.1%

Total expected goals3.16Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves1.86

Away share of expected goals 58.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 62% · No 38%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

San Francisco Reserves

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Win probability excluding draw
45%
3
Points from supplied form
10
1.30
Expected goals
1.86
San Francisco ReservesCA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01San Francisco Reserves signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

San Francisco Reserves vs CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

San Francisco Reserves win 30%,Draw 25%,CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves win 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.16 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over