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INT Women’s Friendly · Fixture ·

FC Badalona (W) vs Villarreal (W)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.31 expected goals
Away form
Home win67%
Draw18%
Away win15%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 67% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win67% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC Badalona (W)Villarreal (W)
Expected goals3.31Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over65% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes61% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
67% / 18% / 15%Match resultHome win67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Villarreal (W) win (14.6%)Double chance1X85.4%1.17
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.31 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
7.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Badalona (W) win67%1.491.3068.5%
Draw18%5.565.0017.8%
Villarreal (W) win15%6.676.5013.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Badalona (W)2.21

Home share of expected goals 66.8%

Total expected goals3.31Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%

Villarreal (W)1.10

Away share of expected goals 33.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Badalona (W)

3.00pts / match
Played1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Points3

SignalHome unbeaten 1/1

Away-context · form sequence

Villarreal (W)

1.00pts / match
Played3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Points3

SignalAway failed to score: 2/3

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Win probability excluding draw
15%
3
Points from supplied form
3
2.21
Expected goals
1.10
FC Badalona (W)Villarreal (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Badalona (W) signalHome unbeaten 1/1

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Villarreal (W) signalAway failed to score: 2/3

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

FC Badalona (W) vs Villarreal (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Badalona (W) win 67%,Draw 18%,Villarreal (W) win 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over