Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
50% / 23% / 27%Match resultHome win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.8%)Double chance1277.2%1.30
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
3.16 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapCapalaba (W) winDifference-1.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gold Coast United (W) win50%2.001.8548.3%+1.7 pp
Draw23%4.353.9022.9%+0.1 pp
Capalaba (W) win27%3.703.1028.8%-1.8 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 70.6%
Total expected goals3.16Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%
Away share of expected goals 29.4%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchGold Coast United (W)
LLDDW
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchCapalaba (W)
WLLLW
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
50%
Win probability excluding draw
27%5
Points from supplied form
62.23
Expected goals
0.93Gold Coast United (W)Capalaba (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.
Match questions
Gold Coast United (W) vs Capalaba (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Gold Coast United (W) win 50%，Draw 23%，Capalaba (W) win 27%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.16 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over。