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NOR Norway Division 3 Group 4 · Fixture ·

Madla vs Vindbjart

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.75 expected goals
Away form
Home win46%
Draw21%
Away win33%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 46% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win46% selection probability
Projected score2–2MadlaVindbjart
Expected goals3.75Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over72% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes71% for the selected side
Expected corners11.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
46% / 21% / 33%Match resultHome win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.7%)Double chance1279.3%1.26
Over 72% · Under 28%Goals 2.5Over72%1.39
Yes 71% · No 29%Both teams scoreYes71%1.41
3.75 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
11.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Madla win46%2.171.9546%
Draw21%4.764.3320.7%
Vindbjart win33%3.032.7033.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Madla2.07

Home share of expected goals 55.2%

Total expected goals3.75Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 72% · Under 28%

Vindbjart1.68

Away share of expected goals 44.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 71% · No 29%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Madla

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Vindbjart

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Win probability excluding draw
33%
8
Points from supplied form
10
2.07
Expected goals
1.68
MadlaVindbjart
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Madla signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vindbjart signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Madla vs Vindbjart FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Madla win 46%,Draw 21%,Vindbjart win 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.75 · Over 2.5 72% · Current selection Over