Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
18% / 28% / 55%Match resultAway win55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Barracas Central Reserves win (17.6%)Double chanceX282.4%1.21
Over 38% · Under 62%Goals 2.5Under62%1.61
Yes 37% · No 63%Both teams scoreNo63%1.59
2.22 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapVelez Sarsfield Reserves winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Barracas Central Reserves win18%5.565.0018%0.0 pp
Draw28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp
Velez Sarsfield Reserves win55%1.821.6753.9%+1.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 27%
Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 38% · Under 62%
Away share of expected goals 73%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 37% · No 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchBarracas Central Reserves
DLDLL
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalHome failed to score: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchVelez Sarsfield Reserves
LLDDW
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
18%
Win probability excluding draw
55%2
Points from supplied form
50.60
Expected goals
1.62Barracas Central ReservesVelez Sarsfield Reserves
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Barracas Central Reserves vs Velez Sarsfield Reserves FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 55% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Barracas Central Reserves win 18%，Draw 28%，Velez Sarsfield Reserves win 55%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.22 · Over 2.5 38% · Current selection Under。