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ARG Argentina Reserve League · Fixture ·

Berazategui Reserves vs Victoriano Arenas Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.92 expected goals
Away form
Home win65%
Draw22%
Away win13%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win65% selection probability
Projected score2–1Berazategui ReservesVictoriano Arenas Reserves
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
65% / 22% / 13%Match resultHome win65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Victoriano Arenas Reserves win (13%)Double chance1X87%1.15
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 40% · No 60%Both teams scoreNo60%1.67
2.92 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Berazategui Reserves win65%1.54
Draw22%4.55
Victoriano Arenas Reserves win13%7.69

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Berazategui Reserves2.34

Home share of expected goals 80.1%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Victoriano Arenas Reserves0.58

Away share of expected goals 19.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 40% · No 60%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Berazategui Reserves

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Victoriano Arenas Reserves

0.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Win probability excluding draw
13%
9
Points from supplied form
0
2.34
Expected goals
0.58
Berazategui ReservesVictoriano Arenas Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Berazategui Reserves signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Victoriano Arenas Reserves signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Berazategui Reserves vs Victoriano Arenas Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Berazategui Reserves win 65%,Draw 22%,Victoriano Arenas Reserves win 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over