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INT Türkiye Super Lig · Fixture ·

Alanyaspor vs Besiktas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.54 expected goals
Away form
Home win32%
Draw29%
Away win39%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win39% selection probability
Projected score1–1AlanyasporBesiktas
Expected goals2.54Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
32% / 29% / 39%Match resultAway win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)Double chance1270.6%1.42
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.54 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Alanyaspor win32%3.13
Draw29%3.45
Besiktas win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alanyaspor1.16

Home share of expected goals 45.7%

Total expected goals2.54Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%

Besiktas1.38

Away share of expected goals 54.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Alanyaspor

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Besiktas

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalAway unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Win probability excluding draw
39%
5
Points from supplied form
15
1.16
Expected goals
1.38
AlanyasporBesiktas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alanyaspor signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Besiktas signalAway unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Alanyaspor vs Besiktas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alanyaspor win 32%,Draw 29%,Besiktas win 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.54 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under