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INT Turkije - Super Lig · Wedstrijd ·

Alanyaspor vs Besiktas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.54 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst32%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst39%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst39% selection probability
Projected score1–1AlanyasporBesiktas
Expected goals2.54Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder53% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
32% / 29% / 39%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)Dubbele Kans1270.6%1.42
Boven 47% · Onder 53%Goals 2.5Onder53%1.89
Ja 52% · Nee 48%Beide teams scorenJa52%1.92
2.54 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Alanyaspor win32%3.13
Gelijkspel29%3.45
Besiktas win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alanyaspor1.16

Thuis share of expected goals 45.7%

Total expected goals2.54Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 47% · Onder 53%

Besiktas1.38

Uit share of expected goals 54.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nee 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Alanyaspor

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Besiktas

3.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punten15

SignalUit unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
39%
5
Points from supplied form
15
1.16
Expected goals
1.38
AlanyasporBesiktas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alanyaspor signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Besiktas signalUit unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Alanyaspor vs Besiktas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alanyaspor gewonnen 32%,Gelijkspel 29%,Besiktas gewonnen 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.54 · Boven 2.5 47% · Current selection Onder