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INT Turcia - Super Lig · Meci ·

Alanyaspor vs Besiktas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.54 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde32%
Egal29%
Victorie oaspeți39%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți39% selection probability
Projected score1–1AlanyasporBesiktas
Expected goals2.54Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub53% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
32% / 29% / 39%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)Șansă dublă1270.6%1.42
Peste 47% · Sub 53%Goals 2.5Sub53%1.89
Da 52% · Nu 48%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa52%1.92
2.54 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Alanyaspor win32%3.13
Egal29%3.45
Besiktas win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alanyaspor1.16

Gazde share of expected goals 45.7%

Total expected goals2.54Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 47% · Sub 53%

Besiktas1.38

Oaspeți share of expected goals 54.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 52% · Nu 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Alanyaspor

1.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puncte5

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Besiktas

3.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puncte15

SignalOaspeți unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Câștig probability excluding draw
39%
5
Points from supplied form
15
1.16
Expected goals
1.38
AlanyasporBesiktas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alanyaspor signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Besiktas signalOaspeți unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Alanyaspor vs Besiktas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alanyaspor câștig 32%,Egal 29%,Besiktas câștig 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.54 · Peste 2.5 47% · Current selection Sub