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INT Türkiye Super Lig · Final ·

Fenerbahce vs Konyaspor

Prediction review

Home form
Final score4–2Forecast 3–1
Away form
Home win72%
Draw18%
Away win10%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 72% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win72% selection probability
Projected score3–1FenerbahceKonyaspor
Expected goals3.67Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over71% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
72% / 18% / 10%Match resultHome win72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Konyaspor win (9.9%)Double chance1X90.1%1.11
Over 71% · Under 29%Goals 2.5Over71%1.41
Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72
3.67 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapFenerbahce winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fenerbahce win72%1.391.3072.2%-0.2 pp
Draw18%5.565.2517.9%+0.1 pp
Konyaspor win10%10.009.509.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fenerbahce2.70

Home share of expected goals 73.6%

Total expected goals3.67Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 71% · Under 29%

Konyaspor0.97

Away share of expected goals 26.4%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Fenerbahce

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Konyaspor

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
72%
Win probability excluding draw
10%
8
Points from supplied form
3
2.70
Expected goals
0.97
FenerbahceKonyaspor
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fenerbahce signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Konyaspor signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Fenerbahce vs Konyaspor FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fenerbahce win 72%,Draw 18%,Konyaspor win 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.67 · Over 2.5 71% · Current selection Over