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SRB Serbia Super Liga · Round 1 ·

FK Zemun vs Mladost Lucani

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.60 expected goals
Away form
Home win24%
Draw28%
Away win48%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 48% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win48% selection probability
Projected score1–1FK ZemunMladost Lucani
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
24% / 28% / 48%Match resultAway win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Zemun win (24.2%)Double chanceX275.8%1.32
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
2.60 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Zemun win24%4.174.1022.3%
Draw28%3.573.3027.7%
Mladost Lucani win48%2.081.8350%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Zemun1.14

Home share of expected goals 43.8%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%

Mladost Lucani1.46

Away share of expected goals 56.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FK Zemun

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Mladost Lucani

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Points7

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Win probability excluding draw
48%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.14
Expected goals
1.46
FK ZemunMladost Lucani
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Zemun signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mladost Lucani signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FK Zemun vs Mladost Lucani FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Zemun win 24%,Draw 28%,Mladost Lucani win 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under