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SRB Serbia Super Liga · Round 1 ·

Partizan Belgrade vs FK Radnicki 1923

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.86 expected goals
Away form
Home win53%
Draw26%
Away win21%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Partizan BelgradeFK Radnicki 1923
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
53% / 26% / 21%Match resultHome win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Radnicki 1923 win (21%)Double chance1X79%1.27
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.86 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Partizan Belgrade win53%1.89
Draw26%3.85
FK Radnicki 1923 win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Partizan Belgrade1.96

Home share of expected goals 68.5%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

FK Radnicki 19230.90

Away share of expected goals 31.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Partizan Belgrade

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

FK Radnicki 1923

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Win probability excluding draw
21%
8
Points from supplied form
9
1.96
Expected goals
0.90
Partizan BelgradeFK Radnicki 1923
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Partizan Belgrade signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Radnicki 1923 signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Partizan Belgrade vs FK Radnicki 1923 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Partizan Belgrade win 53%,Draw 26%,FK Radnicki 1923 win 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over