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PRT Portugal Primeira Liga · Round 1 ·

Benfica vs Academico Viseu

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.79 expected goals
Away form
Home win82%
Draw12%
Away win6%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 82% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win82% selection probability
Projected score2–1BenficaAcademico Viseu
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
82% / 12% / 6%Match resultHome win82%1.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Academico Viseu win (5.6%)Double chance1X94.4%1.06
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Yes 49% · No 51%Both teams scoreNo51%1.96
2.79 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Benfica win82%1.221.1185%
Draw12%8.339.0010.5%
Academico Viseu win6%16.6721.004.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Benfica2.08

Home share of expected goals 74.6%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

Academico Viseu0.71

Away share of expected goals 25.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Benfica

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Academico Viseu

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
82%
Win probability excluding draw
6%
12
Points from supplied form
9
2.08
Expected goals
0.71
BenficaAcademico Viseu
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Benfica signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Academico Viseu signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk18% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

Benfica vs Academico Viseu FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 82% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Benfica win 82%,Draw 12%,Academico Viseu win 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over