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PRT Portugal - Primeira Liga · Round 1 ·

Benfica vs Academico Viseu

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.79 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg82%
Unentschieden12%
Auswärtssieg6%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 82% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg82% selection probability
Projected score2–1BenficaAcademico Viseu
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über54% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
82% / 12% / 6%SpielergebnisHeimsieg82%1.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Academico Viseu win (5.6%)Doppelte Chance1X94.4%1.06
Über 54% · Unter 46%Goals 2.5Über54%1.85
Ja 49% · Nein 51%Beide Teams treffenNein51%1.96
2.79 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.9 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Benfica win82%1.221.1185%
Unentschieden12%8.339.0010.5%
Academico Viseu win6%16.6721.004.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Benfica2.08

Heim share of expected goals 74.6%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 54% · Unter 46%

Academico Viseu0.71

Auswärts share of expected goals 25.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nein 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Benfica

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Academico Viseu

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkte9

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
82%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
6%
12
Points from supplied form
9
2.08
Expected goals
0.71
BenficaAcademico Viseu
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Benfica signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Academico Viseu signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk18% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

Benfica vs Academico Viseu FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 82% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Benfica Gewinn 82%,Unentschieden 12%,Academico Viseu Gewinn 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Über 2.5 54% · Current selection Über