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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Fixture ·

Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–02.20 expected goals
Away form
Home win63%
Draw26%
Away win11%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win63% selection probability
Projected score2–0Independiente RivadaviaEstudiantes Rio Cuarto
Expected goals2.20Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo77% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
63% / 26% / 11%Match resultHome win63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Estudiantes Rio Cuarto win (11.1%)Double chance1X88.9%1.12
Over 38% · Under 62%Goals 2.5Under62%1.61
Yes 23% · No 77%Both teams scoreNo77%1.30
2.20 total expected goalsCorrect score2–0
8.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.6%Largest probability gapIndependiente Rivadavia winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Independiente Rivadavia win63%1.591.5361.9%+1.1 pp
Draw26%3.853.6026.3%-0.3 pp
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto win11%9.098.0011.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Independiente Rivadavia1.88

Home share of expected goals 85.5%

Total expected goals2.20Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 38% · Under 62%

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto0.32

Away share of expected goals 14.5%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitYes 23% · No 77%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Independiente Rivadavia

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Win probability excluding draw
11%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.88
Expected goals
0.32
Independiente RivadaviaEstudiantes Rio Cuarto
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Independiente Rivadavia signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Estudiantes Rio Cuarto signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–0 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Independiente Rivadavia win 63%,Draw 26%,Estudiantes Rio Cuarto win 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.20 · Over 2.5 38% · Current selection Under