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SWE Sweden Allsvenskan · Fixture ·

Västerås SK FK vs Djurgarden

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–33.99 expected goals
Away form
Home win21%
Draw22%
Away win56%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win56% selection probability
Projected score1–3Västerås SK FKDjurgarden
Expected goals3.99Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over76% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
21% / 22% / 56%Match resultAway win56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Västerås SK FK win (21.5%)Double chanceX278.5%1.27
Over 76% · Under 24%Goals 2.5Over76%1.32
Yes 68% · No 32%Both teams scoreYes68%1.47
3.99 total expected goalsCorrect score1–3
10.6 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Västerås SK FK win21%4.76
Draw22%4.55
Djurgarden win56%1.79

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Västerås SK FK1.30

Home share of expected goals 32.6%

Total expected goals3.99Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 76% · Under 24%

Djurgarden2.69

Away share of expected goals 67.4%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitYes 68% · No 32%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Västerås SK FK

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Djurgarden

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Win probability excluding draw
56%
10
Points from supplied form
13
1.30
Expected goals
2.69
Västerås SK FKDjurgarden
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Västerås SK FK signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Djurgarden signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Västerås SK FK vs Djurgarden FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–3 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Västerås SK FK win 21%,Draw 22%,Djurgarden win 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.99 · Over 2.5 76% · Current selection Over