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SWE Sweden Allsvenskan · Match ·

Vasteras SK FK vs Djurgarden

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–33.99 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile21%
Nul22%
Victoire à l’extérieur56%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur56% selection probability
Projected score1–3Vasteras SK FKDjurgarden
Expected goals3.99Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de76% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
21% / 22% / 56%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vasteras SK FK win (21.5%)Double chanceX278.5%1.27
Plus de 76% · Moins de 24%Goals 2.5Plus de76%1.32
Oui 68% · Non 32%Les deux équipes marquentOui68%1.47
3.99 total expected goalsScore exact1–3
10.6 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Vasteras SK FK win21%4.76
Nul22%4.55
Djurgarden win56%1.79

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vasteras SK FK1.30

Domicile share of expected goals 32.6%

Total expected goals3.99Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 76% · Moins de 24%

Djurgarden2.69

Extérieur share of expected goals 67.4%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitOui 68% · Non 32%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Vasteras SK FK

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Djurgarden

2.60pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Gagné probability excluding draw
56%
10
Points from supplied form
13
1.30
Expected goals
2.69
Vasteras SK FKDjurgarden
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vasteras SK FK signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Djurgarden signalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Vasteras SK FK vs Djurgarden FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–3 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vasteras SK FK victoire 21%,Nul 22%,Djurgarden victoire 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.99 · Plus de 2.5 76% · Current selection Plus de