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BEL Belgium First Division A · Final ·

Lommel vs Charleroi

Prediction review

Home form
Final score0–1Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win30%
Draw26%
Away win44%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 44% selection probability
Prediction Won
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win44% selection probability
Projected score1–1LommelCharleroi
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
30% / 26% / 44%Match resultAway win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Double chance1273.5%1.36
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
2.65 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin8.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lommel win30%3.333.2528.5%
Draw26%3.853.5026.4%
Charleroi win44%2.272.0545.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lommel1.23

Home share of expected goals 46.4%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

Charleroi1.42

Away share of expected goals 53.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Lommel

1.25pts / match
Played4Wins1Drawn2Losses1Points5

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Charleroi

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Win probability excluding draw
44%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.23
Expected goals
1.42
LommelCharleroi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lommel signalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Charleroi signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Lommel vs Charleroi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lommel win 30%,Draw 26%,Charleroi win 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under