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BEL Belgique - 1re Division A · Final ·

Lommel vs Charleroi

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score0–1Pronostic 1–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile30%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur44%
Market-based forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier B · 44% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur44% selection probability
Projected score1–1LommelCharleroi
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de51% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
30% / 26% / 44%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Double chance1273.5%1.36
Plus de 49% · Moins de 51%Goals 2.5Moins de51%1.96
Oui 54% · Non 46%Les deux équipes marquentOui54%1.85
2.65 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin8.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lommel win30%3.333.2528.5%
Nul26%3.853.5026.4%
Charleroi win44%2.272.0545.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lommel1.23

Domicile share of expected goals 46.4%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 49% · Moins de 51%

Charleroi1.42

Extérieur share of expected goals 53.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 54% · Non 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Lommel

1.25pts / match
Joués4Wins1Drawn2Losses1Points5

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Charleroi

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalNon recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Gagné probability excluding draw
44%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.23
Expected goals
1.42
LommelCharleroi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lommel signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Charleroi signalNon recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Lommel vs Charleroi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lommel victoire 30%,Nul 26%,Charleroi victoire 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Plus de 2.5 49% · Current selection Moins de