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INT Peru Liga 1 · Fixture ·

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Deportivo Moquegua

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.85 expected goals
Away form
Home win47%
Draw32%
Away win21%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win47% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Moquegua
Expected goals1.85Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under72% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo68% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
47% / 32% / 21%Match resultHome win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Moquegua win (20.8%)Double chance1X79.2%1.26
Over 28% · Under 72%Goals 2.5Under72%1.39
Yes 32% · No 68%Both teams scoreNo68%1.47
1.85 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso win47%2.13
Draw32%3.13
Deportivo Moquegua win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Garcilaso1.28

Home share of expected goals 69.2%

Total expected goals1.85Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 28% · Under 72%

Deportivo Moquegua0.57

Away share of expected goals 30.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 32% · No 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Deportivo Garcilaso

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Deportivo Moquegua

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Win probability excluding draw
21%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.28
Expected goals
0.57
Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Moquegua
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Garcilaso signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Moquegua signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Deportivo Moquegua FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Garcilaso win 47%,Draw 32%,Deportivo Moquegua win 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.85 · Over 2.5 28% · Current selection Under