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Sandefjord vs KFUM

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Away form
Home win45%
Draw30%
Away win25%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win45% selection probability
Projected score1–1SandefjordKFUM
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo58% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
45% / 30% / 25%Match resultHome win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes KFUM win (24.5%)Double chance1X75.5%1.32
Over 38% · Under 62%Goals 2.5Under62%1.61
Yes 42% · No 58%Both teams scoreNo58%1.72
2.19 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
11.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Sandefjord win45%2.22
Draw30%3.33
KFUM win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sandefjord1.40

Home share of expected goals 63.9%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 38% · Under 62%

KFUM0.79

Away share of expected goals 36.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 42% · No 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sandefjord

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

KFUM

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Win probability excluding draw
25%
1
Points from supplied form
3
1.40
Expected goals
0.79
SandefjordKFUM
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sandefjord signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KFUM signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Sandefjord vs KFUM FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sandefjord win 45%,Draw 30%,KFUM win 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Over 2.5 38% · Current selection Under