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AUT Austria Bundesliga · Fixture ·

LASK Linz vs SV Ried

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.13 expected goals
Away form
Home win57%
Draw24%
Away win19%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win57% selection probability
Projected score2–1LASK LinzSV Ried
Expected goals3.13Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over60% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
57% / 24% / 19%Match resultHome win57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SV Ried win (18.9%)Double chance1X81.1%1.23
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
3.13 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
LASK Linz win57%1.75
Draw24%4.17
SV Ried win19%5.26

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

LASK Linz2.24

Home share of expected goals 71.6%

Total expected goals3.13Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%

SV Ried0.89

Away share of expected goals 28.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

LASK Linz

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

SV Ried

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Win probability excluding draw
19%
15
Points from supplied form
4
2.24
Expected goals
0.89
LASK LinzSV Ried
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01LASK Linz signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SV Ried signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

LASK Linz vs SV Ried FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

LASK Linz win 57%,Draw 24%,SV Ried win 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.13 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over