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LASK Linz vs SV Ried

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.13 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg57%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg19%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg57% selection probability
Projected score2–1LASK LinzSV Ried
Expected goals3.13Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über60% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
57% / 24% / 19%SpielergebnisHeimsieg57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SV Ried win (18.9%)Doppelte Chance1X81.1%1.23
Über 60% · Unter 40%Goals 2.5Über60%1.67
Ja 53% · Nein 47%Beide Teams treffenJa53%1.89
3.13 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.9 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
LASK Linz win57%1.75
Unentschieden24%4.17
SV Ried win19%5.26

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

LASK Linz2.24

Heim share of expected goals 71.6%

Total expected goals3.13Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 60% · Unter 40%

SV Ried0.89

Auswärts share of expected goals 28.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nein 47%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

LASK Linz

3.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punkte15

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

SV Ried

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
19%
15
Points from supplied form
4
2.24
Expected goals
0.89
LASK LinzSV Ried
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01LASK Linz signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SV Ried signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

LASK Linz vs SV Ried FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

LASK Linz Gewinn 57%,Unentschieden 24%,SV Ried Gewinn 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.13 · Über 2.5 60% · Current selection Über