Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 29% / 32%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.3%)Double chance1270.7%1.41
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.56 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Tranmere win39%2.56
Draw29%3.45
Shrewsbury win32%3.13
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 54.3%
Total expected goals2.56Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%
Away share of expected goals 45.7%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchTranmere
DDLWL
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchShrewsbury
DLDDW
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6
SignalAway unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
39%
Win probability excluding draw
32%5
Points from supplied form
61.39
Expected goals
1.17TranmereShrewsbury
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Tranmere vs Shrewsbury FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Tranmere win 39%，Draw 29%，Shrewsbury win 32%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.56 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under。