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ENG England - League 2 · Match ·

Tranmere vs Shrewsbury

Archived pre-match prediction

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.56 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger39%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger32%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger39% selection probability
Projected score1–1TranmereShrewsbury
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
39% / 29% / 32%MatchresultatHemmaseger39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.3%)Dubbelchans1270.7%1.41
Över 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Ja 52% · Nej 48%Båda lagen gör målJa52%1.92
2.56 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.4 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Tranmere win39%2.56
Oavgjort29%3.45
Shrewsbury win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tranmere1.39

Hemma share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 47% · Under 53%

Shrewsbury1.17

Borta share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nej 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Tranmere

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Shrewsbury

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poäng6

SignalBorta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
6
1.39
Expected goals
1.17
TranmereShrewsbury
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tranmere signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shrewsbury signalBorta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Tranmere vs Shrewsbury FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tranmere vunnen 39%,Oavgjort 29%,Shrewsbury vunnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · Över 2.5 47% · Current selection Under