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ENG England League 2 · Fixture ·

Crawley Town vs Crewe

Archived pre-match prediction

Home form
Projected score1–12.37 expected goals
Away form
Home win29%
Draw30%
Away win41%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Crawley TownCrewe
Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under58% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
29% / 30% / 41%Match resultAway win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Crawley Town win (29.3%)Double chanceX270.7%1.41
Over 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.37 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Crawley Town win29%3.45
Draw30%3.33
Crewe win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Crawley Town1.01

Home share of expected goals 42.6%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 42% · Under 58%

Crewe1.36

Away share of expected goals 57.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Crawley Town

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Crewe

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Win probability excluding draw
41%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.01
Expected goals
1.36
Crawley TownCrewe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Crawley Town signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Crewe signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Crawley Town vs Crewe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Crawley Town win 29%,Draw 30%,Crewe win 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.37 · Over 2.5 42% · Current selection Under