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ENG Angleterre - League 2 · Match ·

Crawley Town vs Crewe

Archived pre-match prediction

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.37 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile29%
Nul30%
Victoire à l’extérieur41%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Crawley TownCrewe
Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de58% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
29% / 30% / 41%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Crawley Town win (29.3%)Double chanceX270.7%1.41
Plus de 42% · Moins de 58%Goals 2.5Moins de58%1.72
Oui 48% · Non 52%Les deux équipes marquentNon52%1.92
2.37 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Crawley Town win29%3.45
Nul30%3.33
Crewe win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Crawley Town1.01

Domicile share of expected goals 42.6%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 42% · Moins de 58%

Crewe1.36

Extérieur share of expected goals 57.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 48% · Non 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Crawley Town

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Crewe

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Gagné probability excluding draw
41%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.01
Expected goals
1.36
Crawley TownCrewe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Crawley Town signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Crewe signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Crawley Town vs Crewe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Crawley Town victoire 29%,Nul 30%,Crewe victoire 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.37 · Plus de 2.5 42% · Current selection Moins de