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SAU サウジアラビア ディビジョン 1 · 試合 ·

アルオルーバ vs アルラエド

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利40%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利34%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利40% selection probability
Projected score2–1アルオルーバアルラエド
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー52% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
40% / 26% / 34%試合結果ホーム勝利40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)ダブルチャンス1274.3%1.35
オーバー 52% · アンダー 48%Goals 2.5オーバー52%1.92
はい 56% · いいえ 44%両チーム得点はい56%1.79
2.77 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.2 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
アルオルーバ win40%2.502.2540%0.0 pp
引き分け26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
アルラエド win34%2.942.6334.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アルオルーバ1.51

ホーム share of expected goals 54.5%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 52% · アンダー 48%

アルラエド1.26

アウェイ share of expected goals 45.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 56% · いいえ 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アルオルーバ

2.60pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn1Losses0ポイント13

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アルラエド

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
勝ち probability excluding draw
34%
13
Points from supplied form
6
1.51
Expected goals
1.26
アルオルーバアルラエド
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アルオルーバ signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アルラエド signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

アルオルーバ vs アルラエド FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アルオルーバ 勝ち 40%,引き分け 26%,アルラエド 勝ち 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · オーバー 2.5 52% · Current selection オーバー