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SAU Саудовская Аравия - 1-й дивизион · Матч ·

Аль-Оруба vs Аль-Раед

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев40%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей34%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев40% selection probability
Projected score2–1Аль-ОрубаАль-Раед
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше52% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
40% / 26% / 34%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Двойной шанс1274.3%1.35
Больше 52% · Меньше 48%Goals 2.5Больше52%1.92
Да 56% · Нет 44%Обе забьютДа56%1.79
2.77 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.2 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Аль-Оруба win40%2.502.2540%0.0 pp
Ничья26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Аль-Раед win34%2.942.6334.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Аль-Оруба1.51

Хозяева share of expected goals 54.5%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 52% · Меньше 48%

Аль-Раед1.26

Гости share of expected goals 45.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 56% · Нет 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Аль-Оруба

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Аль-Раед

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
34%
13
Points from supplied form
6
1.51
Expected goals
1.26
Аль-ОрубаАль-Раед
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Аль-Оруба signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Аль-Раед signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Аль-Оруба vs Аль-Раед FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Аль-Оруба выигрыш 40%,Ничья 26%,Аль-Раед выигрыш 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · ТБ 2.5 52% · Current selection Больше