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INT フィンランド ウッコスリーガ · Round 20 ·

クルビ04 vs MP

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.12 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利43%
引き分け27%
アウェイ勝利30%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利43% selection probability
Projected score1–1クルビ04MP
Expected goals2.12Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー64% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
43% / 27% / 30%試合結果ホーム勝利43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)ダブルチャンス1272.7%1.38
オーバー 36% · アンダー 64%Goals 2.5アンダー64%1.56
はい 43% · いいえ 57%両チーム得点いいえ57%1.75
2.12 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
10.6 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapクルビ04 winDifference-0.4 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
クルビ04 win43%2.332.0543.4%-0.4 pp
引き分け27%3.703.3027%0.0 pp
MP win30%3.333.0029.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

クルビ041.06

ホーム share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.12Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 36% · アンダー 64%

MP1.06

アウェイ share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 43% · いいえ 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

クルビ04

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

MP

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
勝ち probability excluding draw
30%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.06
Expected goals
1.06
クルビ04MP
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01クルビ04 signalホーム matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MP signalホーム failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

クルビ04 vs MP FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

クルビ04 勝ち 43%,引き分け 27%,MP 勝ち 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.12 · オーバー 2.5 36% · Current selection アンダー