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INT Finland Ykkosliiga · Round 20 ·

Klubi-04 vs MP

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.12 expected goals
Away form
Home win43%
Draw27%
Away win30%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Klubi-04MP
Expected goals2.12Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under64% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 27% / 30%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Double chance1272.7%1.38
Over 36% · Under 64%Goals 2.5Under64%1.56
Yes 43% · No 57%Both teams scoreNo57%1.75
2.12 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.6 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapKlubi-04 winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Klubi-04 win43%2.332.0543.4%-0.4 pp
Draw27%3.703.3027%0.0 pp
MP win30%3.333.0029.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Klubi-041.05

Home share of expected goals 49.5%

Total expected goals2.12Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 36% · Under 64%

MP1.07

Away share of expected goals 50.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 43% · No 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Klubi-04

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

MP

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Win probability excluding draw
30%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.05
Expected goals
1.07
Klubi-04MP
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Klubi-04 signalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MP signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Klubi-04 vs MP FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Klubi-04 win 43%,Draw 27%,MP win 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.12 · Over 2.5 36% · Current selection Under