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BRA ブラジル セリエA · Round 21 ·

クルゼイロ vs ミラソウ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利40%
引き分け30%
アウェイ勝利30%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利40% selection probability
Projected score1–1クルゼイロミラソウ
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー58% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
40% / 30% / 30%試合結果ホーム勝利40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ミラソウ win (29.7%)ダブルチャンス1X70.3%1.42
オーバー 42% · アンダー 58%Goals 2.5アンダー58%1.72
はい 47% · いいえ 53%両チーム得点いいえ53%1.89
2.35 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
クルゼイロ win40%2.50
引き分け30%3.33
ミラソウ win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

クルゼイロ1.34

ホーム share of expected goals 57%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 42% · アンダー 58%

ミラソウ1.01

アウェイ share of expected goals 43%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 47% · いいえ 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

クルゼイロ

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ミラソウ

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
勝ち probability excluding draw
30%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.34
Expected goals
1.01
クルゼイロミラソウ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01クルゼイロ signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ミラソウ signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

クルゼイロ vs ミラソウ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

クルゼイロ 勝ち 40%,引き分け 30%,ミラソウ 勝ち 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · オーバー 2.5 42% · Current selection アンダー